Industrialized Cyclist Notepad


Montana Crude Oil Production

Appears to have peaked. See, the Bakken formation is in Montana and North Dakota.

montanaoilproduction
click to enlarge

via EIA: http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=pet&s=mcrfpmt2&f=m



Technology versus Luck

What if our technology had more to do with luck than our luck had to do with technology?

James Hamilton:

My view is that with these new fields and new technology, we’ll see further increases in U.S. and world production of oil for the next several years. But, unlike many other economists, I do not expect that to continue for much beyond the next decade. We like to think that the reason we enjoy our high standard of living is because we have been so clever at figuring out how to use the world’s available resources. But we should not dismiss the possibility that there may also have been a nontrivial contribution of simply having been quite lucky to have found an incredibly valuable raw material that was relatively easy to obtain for about a century and a half.

via Economics in Action : Issue 7 : November 15, 2012 : Exhaustible Resources and Economic Growth.

Yeah.. Don’t dismiss that possibility.



China wants to get fracked

Everyone knows that oil and gas are more important than water. Right?

If fracking takes off in China as planned, it will likely exacerbate the nation’s existing water crisis. “Most of the nation’s shale gas lies in areas plagued by water shortages,” the report says. With about 20 percent of the world’s population and only 6 percent of the world’s water resources, China is one of the least water-secure countries in the world. Its water shortages are made worse by pollution: According to the Ministry of Water Resources about 40 percent of China’s rivers were so polluted they were deemed unfit for drinking, while about 300 million rural residents lack access to safe drinking water each year.

via China planning 'huge fracking industry' | Environment | guardian.co.uk.



What kids do to bike accident stats

Especially in suburban areas. Here’s Mesa, AZ 2005.

Click to access bike_analysis.pdf

via The Industrialized Cyclist Research Page


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Bakken Development by County

via a comment by Rune Likvern at the Oil Drum: http://www.theoildrum.com/node/9648#comment-931584


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looks a little peaky…probably just a temporary hitch… don’t be alarmed…

Note: the Bakken shale is in Montana as well as North Dakota.



E-bikes vs. bikes

Pedelec. A new word to me.

In a vote at the European Parliament today, MEPs have decided to keep the original European Commission proposal; only pedelecs with a maximum speed of 25 km/h and 250 watts power will remain exempt from motorbike regulation. Europe’s cycling organisations have welcomed the move, seeing it as a clear separation between bicycles and motorbikes

via European Cyclists' Federation – 20.11.2012- EU Parliament Backs ECF And Bicycle Industry Campaign To Protect Future Of Cycling.



Bike of the Day: Soma Double Cross

This bike puts a tire-width ditch in the pavement everywhere it goes.



TAPI

Turkmenistan-Afghanistan-Pakistan-India

via Investors sought for for Turkmen gas pipeline – The National.



Offshore Gaza


click to sharpen

British Gas (BG Group) and its partner, the Athens based Consolidated Contractors International Company (CCC) owned by Lebanon’s Sabbagh and Koury families, were granted oil and gas exploration rights in a 25 year agreement signed in November 1999 with the Palestinian Authority.

via http://www.globalresearch.ca/war-and-natural-gas-the-israeli-invasion-and-gaza-s-offshore-gas-fields/11680



Saudi Arabia gets high on its own supply

Leaving less for our late-night Taco Bell runs.

DUBAI, Nov 19 (Reuters) – Saudi Arabia burned record volumes

of crude oil over the summer, official government figures show,

contrary to its aim of using more gas for power generatation to

reduce wastage of crude that it could export.

During the peak period from early June through September,

Saudi Arabia burned an average of 763,250 barrels per day (bpd)

of crude, compared to an average of 701,250 bpd last year and

747,750 bpd in the previous record summer of 2010, official

government data issued on Sunday under the Joint Oil Data

Initiative (JODI) shows.

via Saudi summer oil burning hits record high in 2012 -JODI – Yahoo! News.



Downtown Detroit Sidewalk Widths

Hey everybody’s got their things, man. Sidewalk width is one of my things.

via Downtown Detroit Master Plan, 2004 (pdf): http://www.detroitmi.gov/Portals/0/docs/planning/planning/transportation/DTMP_2004.pdf


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Bicycle Parking

Sort of required.

Download complete Denver Zoning Code (pdf), effective 2010.


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The amazing red mound

The happy talk on future production is crazier than ever in the latest IEA World Energy Outlook, but there are also some stunningly pessimistic predictions buried inside. Wild!

For instance: The US will become number one oil producuh again and rediscover our lost oil-producing prowess with about 11 million barrels/day (Yay!) — which must mean Saudi Arabia won’t approach IEA’s previous prediction for that country of roughly 15 mbd output (Ooof). And the predicted exporter status of the US (Yay!) relies as much on a huge drop in consumption as it does on increases in production (Ooof). So it’s a bit of a sad day in IEA land, where consumption always went up, up, up.

From Tverberg:

The International Energy Agency (IEA) provides unrealistically high oil forecasts in its new 2012 World Energy Outlook (WEO). It claims, among other things, that the United States will become the world’s largest oil producer by 2020, and will become a net oil exporter by 2030.

Figure 1. Author’s interpretation of IEA Forecast of Future US Oil Production under “New Policies” Scenario, based on information provided in IEA’s 2012 World Energy Outlook.

Figure 1 shows that this increase comes solely from the expected rise in tight oil production and natural gas liquids. The idea that we will become an exporter in later years occurs despite falling production, because “demand” will drop so much.

via http://ourfiniteworld.com/2012/11/13/iea-oil-forecast-unrealistically-high-misses-diminishing-returns/

Note that IEA and other maniacs add NGLs, biodiesel and even ‘refinery gain’ to the US oil production number, in a crude attempt to fool y’all.



VMT versus Brent
November 13, 2012, 23:48
Filed under: Uncategorized | Tags: , , , , ,


click to enlarge

1987-2012



North American Energy Security
November 12, 2012, 00:23
Filed under: Uncategorized | Tags: , , , , , ,

BEIJING- The chairman of China’s CNOOC Ltd. said Friday that he was confident that the state-controlled oil giant’s proposed $15.1 billion buyout of Canada’s Nexen Inc. would be completed by the end of the year. 

via RIGZONE – CNOOC Chairman: Confident Nexen Deal Will Be Completed by Year-End.



Availability of gasoline in New York City metropolitan area

via EIA: http://www.eia.gov/special/disruptions/hurricane/sandy/gasoline_updates.cfm



Bike of the Day: This Old Raleigh

Upon closer inspection, looks like a recipe for disaster.



not featured in real estate brochures

via (pdf) http://www.rockyflatsnuclearguardianship.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/leroy-moore-papers/dem-public-heath-at-rf-12-10.pdf

Leroy Moore papers: http://www.rockyflatsnuclearguardianship.org/leroy-moores-blog/papers-by-leroy-moore-phd-2/


click image to sharpen a bit

Figure 2. Carl Johnson studied cancer incidence for 1969-1971 among Anglos in three areas downwind of Rocky Flats defined by levels of plutonium contamination in millicuries per square kilometer (mCi/km2) as compared to the uncontaminated control area. See the text above for cancer incidence rate for each area. From Johnson, “Cancer Incidence in an Area Contaminated with Radionuclides Near a Nuclear Installation,” AMBIO, 10, 4, October 1981, page 177 and Table 3 (copyright Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, reprinted by permission of Allen Press Publishing Services).

Fires in 1957 and 1968 sent an unknown amount of highly radioactive material over the Denver area. Johnson found higher cancer rates the closer he got to Rocky Flats.



not-so-interesting stops on the road to civil war

The move by Exxon to quit the West Qurna-1 oilfield in south Iraq will exacerbate tensions between Baghdad and the autonomous Iraqi Kurdistan region, where Exxon has signed oil deals seen as more lucrative but dismissed by the central government as illegal.

Kurdistan has upset Baghdad by signing oil deals with foreign companies including Exxon, Chevron and Total . Kurdish officials say they have the constitutional right to do so, but the central government says only it controls oil policy.

via UPDATE 3-Iraq says Exxon to quit oilfield, ends Turkey TPAO deal | Reuters.



Election Day thoughts

Chris Hedges:

[…]

So it is with some morbid fascination that I watch Barack Obama, who has become the prime “dominatrix” of the liberal class, force us in this election to plead for more humiliation and abuse. Obama has carried out a far more egregious assault on our civil liberties, including signing into law Section 1021(b)(2) of the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA), than George W. Bush. Section 1021(b)(2), which I challenged in federal court, permits the U.S. military to detain American citizens, strip them of due process and hold them indefinitely in military facilities. U.S. District Judge Katherine B. Forrest struck down the law in September. The Obama administration immediately appealed the decision. The NDAA has been accompanied by use of the Espionage Act, which Obama has turned to six times in silencing whistle-blowers. Obama supported the FISA Amendment Act so government could spy on tens of millions of us without warrants. He has drawn up kill lists to exterminate those, even U.S. citizens, deemed by the ruling elite to be terrorists.

Obama tells us that we better lick his boots or we will face the brute down the hall, Mitt Romney. After all, we wouldn’t want the bad people to get their hands on these newly minted mechanisms of repression. We will, if we do not behave, end up with a more advanced security and surveillance state, the completion of the XL Keystone pipeline, unchecked pillage from Wall Street, environmental catastrophe and even worse health care. Yet we know on some level that once the election is over, Obama will, if he is re-elected, again betray us. This is part of the game. We dutifully assume our position. We cry out in holy terror. We promise to obey. And we are mocked as we watch promises crumble into dust.

As we are steadily stripped of power, we desire with greater and greater fervor to be victims and slaves. Our relationship to corporate power increasingly mirrors that of ancient religious cults. Lucian writes of the priests of Cybele who, whipped into frenzy, castrated themselves to honor the goddess. Women devotees cut off their breasts. We are not far behind.

[…]

Read more: The S&M Election | NationofChange.