Industrialized Cyclist Notepad


In 2020, Traffic fatalities up, while VMT down

That’s strikingly bad. Total fatalities up 8% over 2019, while fatality rate per vmt rose 24% by one estimate.

Source: Driving Was Down In 2020, But Traffic Fatality Rates Surged : NPR



The Pandemic and VMT

Revisiting Vehicle Miles Traveled after several years of looking away in absolute disgust. Below is the moving 12-month average, latest month recorded is November 2020.

https://www.fhwa.dot.gov/policyinformation/travel_monitoring/tvt.cfm



Americans Driving More Than Ever Before

After a few years of sweet reversal of the VMT (Vehicle Miles Traveled) chart, then a few years of bouncing along what looked like a New Normal, things have turned around in a big way. Cheap gas being the primary culprit. Back to our old ways just like that, and making up for lost time.

http://www.fhwa.dot.gov/policyinformation/travel_monitoring/15augtvt/figure1.cfm

vmtaug15



VMT chart still in Peak Oil mode

No coherent explanation for the way the years are labeled across the bottom however.

vmtfeb2013

Data through February.

via (pdf) http://www.fhwa.dot.gov/policyinformation/travel_monitoring/13febtvt/13febtvt.pdf



The X-Axis
March 26, 2013, 19:14
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Notice anything weird about this VMT chart (other than its unusual downward trend that is)? I never noticed it before..

via http://www.fhwa.dot.gov/policyinformation/travel_monitoring/13jantvt/index.cfm

vmtjan2013

[Mexico vs. USA en vivo ahora..]



What rhymes with fiscal

vmt oct12

Figure 1 – Moving 12-Month Total on All Highways – October 2012 Traffic Volume Trends – Travel Monitoring and Traffic Volume – OHPI – FHWA.



VMT versus Brent
November 13, 2012, 23:48
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click to enlarge

1987-2012



VMT graph is broken
September 26, 2012, 22:30
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Interesting times, exhibit 67.

Via http://www.fhwa.dot.gov/policyinformation/travel_monitoring/12jultvt/index.cfm



How Reliable Are the D.O.T.’s VMT Numbers?

I have no idea. Just throwing that out there as a question.

I do know that quantifying the total amount of driving that has occurred on “all roads” by an entire population is necessarily a dark art, prone to wild extrapolations.

Currently not falling off a cliff, according to DOT.

via (pdf) http://www.fhwa.dot.gov/policyinformation/travel_monitoring/12maytvt/12maytvt.pdf



VMT still busted

The latest govt. numbers. April ’12 down a little over April ’11. 53 months and counting.



Vehicle Miles Traveled up slightly in February

+ 1.8% Over Feb. 2011…

Moving 12-month total.

http://www.fhwa.dot.gov/policyinformation/travel_monitoring/12febtvt/12febtvt.pdf



49 Months

VMT (Vehicle Miles Traveled) up slightly in December relative to last December, but down overall for the year, and below its previous peak now for 49 months. With fuel prices on the rise it doesn’t look like it will break above that for quite some time — if ever.

But what do I know.. People are buying cars again. It’s Halftime in America and “the SUV is back.”

From the DOT:

The whole pdf here



47 months
December 27, 2011, 18:05
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Holy mackerel, vehicle miles driven continues to drop. Now 47 months and counting below the previous peak.

Feds’ numbers: http://www.fhwa.dot.gov/ohim/tvtw/11octtvt/index.cfm


click to enlarge