Filed under: Uncategorized | Tags: Brent, Fatthouh, futures prices, James Hamilton, Kilian, Mahadeva, NYMEX, oil prices, speculation, spot prices, WTI
A paper by Fatthouh, Kilian and Mahadeva (pdf)
Abstract: A popular view is that the surge in the price of oil during 2003-08 cannot be explained by economic fundamentals, but was caused by the increased financialization of oil futures markets, which in turn allowed speculation to become a major determinant of the spot price of oil. This interpretation has been driving policy efforts to regulate oil futures markets. This survey reviews the evidence supporting this view. We identify six strands in the literature corresponding to different empirical methodologies and discuss to what extent each approach sheds light on the role of speculation. We find that the existing evidence is not supportive of an important role of speculation in driving the spot price of oil after 2003. Instead, there is strong evidence that the co-movement between spot and futures prices reflects common economic fundamentals rather than the financialization of oil futures markets.
Filed under: Uncategorized | Tags: Brent, Cushing, Gulf Coast leg, Keystone XL, NYMEX, oil pipelines, pipelines, TransCanada, WTI
Doesn’t need fed approval for that.
TransCanada said Monday that a 700,000 barrel-per-day Gulf Coast leg originally part of the Alberta-to-Texas Keystone XL proposal is now a separate $2.3-billion US project that doesn’t require a cross-border presidential permit. Obama denied Keystone XL a construction permit in January, following a delay of the project last November caused by an extension of U.S. environmental review.
The link between an oversupplied Oklahoma oil storage hub and the world’s largest refining market in Texas will help relieve a glut in crude supply in the U.S. Midwest upon startup in mid to late 2013, the company said.
Filed under: Uncategorized | Tags: Brent, crude oil, crude oil prices, EIA, energy, Energy Information Administration, NYMEX, oil price, oil price predictions, oil prices, peak oil, WTI
Via http://www.eia.gov/forecasts/aeo/er/early_prices.cfm
Consider in light of their historical track record, which has … not been good.
Industrialized Cyclist Notepad 