Industrialized Cyclist Notepad


Habshan-Fujairah

Will help a little bit with the whole Strait of Hormuz thing.

via http://www.ekemeuroenergy.org/en/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=53:uae-crude-pipeline-to-downgrade-role-of-strait-of-hormuz&catid=47:middle-east-a-the-gulf-&Itemid=74



Weird Discrepancy

…between official Russian oil production numbers and JODI numbers.

via http://www.forbes.com/sites/markadomanis/2012/05/20/is-russian-oil-production-plummeting/



Transitory
April 25, 2012, 10:18
Filed under: Uncategorized | Tags: , ,



Resistance

A new fire in the North Sea; blowout in Russia; hacking in Iran; pipeline problems in Turkey; accelerated violence in South Sudan… What I miss?



The Five Anxious Dwarves

Interesting piece by Andrew McKillop.

At the current time there is no sign that either of these Nice Theory solutions coming about in the real world, unless we try the conspiracy theory that the OECD group, led by the US, Europe and Japan voluntarily sabotaged their economies in 2008 – to save oil !

 Annual growth of oil demand by China, India, Bangladesh, Pakistan, Brazil, Turkey and other nonOECD, large population, oil importing industrialising countries could hit as much as 1.75 Mbd each year, under 2004-2007 global economic conditions. Not even 2 years of that growth would send oil prices right off the top of the graph. Even with continued slow oil demand growth by the OECD group, or recession-driven decline of their demand … global oil demand can easily bounce.

We can simply note that dependable Peak Oil denial from playful flyweights like Dan Yergin or oil industry stalwarts like former CEO Lee Raymond and E&P chief Jon Thompson of ExxonMobil, or Christophe de Margerie of Total has problems staying on track. The real bottom line on global oil production is increasingly heard:  world oil output will very likely never achieve more than around 90 Mbd on a short-life basis, before terminal decline sets into operation. The only upside is that necessarily more expensive shale oil, and necessarily expensive GTL (oil from gas) may smooth the downslope.

Today’s IEA forecast for global average daily demand in 2012 is about 89.9 Mbd.

via The Magical Decline Of Crude Oil Demand :: The Market Oracle



Drilling Rigs in the U.S.

via Stuart Staniford’s Early Warning:

http://earlywarn.blogspot.com/2012/03/us-rig-count-trends.html



James Hamilton: A rational reason for high oil prices

“There is no rational reason for high oil prices,” writes Ali Naimi, Saudi Arabian Minister of Petroleum and Mineral Resources, in today’s Financial Times. Well, I can think of one– if oil prices were lower, the world would want to consume more than is currently being produced.

via Econbrowser: A rational reason for high oil prices.



Chinese Oil Production

From a comment by “Darwinian” on the Oil Drum.



UK Oil production quietly plummeting

For any modern nation, a 22% decline in oil production would be significant over the course of a decade. A 22% drop over a mere 12 months ought to be front-page news, yet this radical decline has passed relatively unnoticed.

via UK Oil: Plummeting production vs media inattention | Energy Bulletin.



North American Shale Plays

Via EIA.


click to enlarge



Senator Schumer wants Saudi Arabia to talk down oil prices

But Senator — to what degree will desperate-sounding ‘comments’ from US officials like yourself counteract those hypothetical emphatic promises? Seems like Shoom is scrambling for relevance.

Schumer called on Saudi Arabia to repeat its intention to make up for supply losses, arguing the comments will drive down gas prices, which are tethered to global oil prices.

“If the markets believe this is real, the price will come down even further. So we are asking the Saudis to repeat this promise,” Schumer said.

“The more explicit they are, the more emphatic they are, the more they ensure the markets that they are for real here,” he continued, “the more the markets will calm down more permanently and the more the price will come down.”

via Schumer: Saudi Arabia's plan to increase oil supply will lower gas prices – The Hill's E2-Wire.



Garden Creek 07-14H

A sensitive area due to shallow groundwater. According to a site assessment, groundwater is 20 feet below the surface.

http://ogccweblink.state.co.us/results.aspx?id=415806



Lukoil in Iraq

As Norwegian Statoil bugs out.

Lukoil aims to invest around $2 billion in the West Qurna-2 oil field in Iraq this year, Bloomberg News reports. A company spokesman told Bloomberg that $200 million was invested there in 2011.

The oil company, the largest private energy company in Russia, also announced plans to start construction on a new oil pipeline and spell out details for its drilling program.

via Lukoil unveils investment plans for Iraq – UPI.com.



Chevron’s Nigerian Rig Fire Stopped Burning, Still Leaking?

In familiar fashion, there is some difference of opinion about whether the well is still leaking. A relief well was drilled but didn’t do the trick.

Chevron Corp released a statement declaring that the raging fire had gone out by itself. “The site of the Funiwa 1A natural gas well offshore Nigeria ceased burning on Friday, March 2. The well stopped flowing on its own,” the statement said. “CNL (Chevron Nigeria Limited) has detected no natural gas flowing from the well since the fire ceased burning and is monitoring the area continuously.”

Nigerian communities local to the area have confirmed that the fire has indeed gone out, but claim that the gas is still leaking at a steady rate, and has killed many fish and polluted the area.

Matthew Sele, from the town of Koluma just near to the offshore rig, said that, “The fire has been put off since Friday, but the gas emission is worse. Raw gas is continuing to bubble in the air and is making it hard for people to breathe.”

via Chevron's Nigerian Rig Fire Finally Goes Out on its Own.

(This is about five days old.)



Yemen no longer an oil exporter

Via the EIA’s Yemen page, which seems to rely heavily on Oil & Gas Journal.



Oil and Gas leases on Alaska’s north slope

Via http://northern.org/media-library/maps/arctic/western-arctic-npr-a-maps/NorthSlopeLeasesMar2009WEBlg2.jpg/view


click to enlarge



Interesting math from Reuters as Brent tops 120

Crude oil output from the North Sea, home of the global Brent benchmark, is set to fall in March for a third month due to maintenance work and natural aging of oilfields there.

Supply will average 2.18 million barrels per day in March, down 1.4 percent from 2.12 million bpd the previous month, data compiled by Reuters showed on Tuesday.

via Brent tops $120 on Iran, North Sea, Greece | Reuters.

This report was the product of at least four reporters and two editors.



Another Mid-East pipeline map

Via the Guardian‘s DataBlog: http://www.guardian.co.uk/news/datablog/2012/feb/06/iran-oil-exports-destination#_



Sudan energy production through 2009
January 30, 2012, 10:10
Filed under: Uncategorized | Tags: , , , , , , , ,

Graph from IEA (pdf):



Mitigation
January 26, 2012, 22:18
Filed under: Uncategorized | Tags: , , , , , ,

A new article in Nature acknowledges apparent peak in crude oil supply around 2005, and associated bits of nasty math, including depletion of existing supergiant fields and sharp decline in shale gas wells. Here’s the citation for the article:

http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v481/n7382/full/481433a.html

Murray and King say “we need to start immediately” to mitigate the effects of Peak Oil. But the effects of Peak Oil are already mitigating us.

via Energy Bulletin:


click to enlarge




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