Industrialized Cyclist Notepad


Natural gas development in Bradford County, PA

A link to an animated map of drilling operations in Bradford County since 2008.

http://www.bradfordcountypa.org/Natural-Gas.asp?specifTab=2

bradfordcounty



Even more North American energy security
December 14, 2012, 17:21
Filed under: Uncategorized | Tags: , , , , , , ,

PetroChina Co. (857) agreed to pay Encana Corp. (ECA) C$1.18 billion ($1.2 billion) for a 49.9 percent stake in an Alberta shale formation as Asia’s biggest oil producer steps up acquisitions of overseas oil and gas assets.

via PetroChina Pays $1.2 Billion to Form Encana Joint Venture – Bloomberg.



UK Fracking Nervousness Mostly About Earthquakes
December 14, 2012, 00:17
Filed under: Uncategorized | Tags: , , , , ,

Poor blokes have been snowed. Quite.

Not only has the UK green-lighted fracking, it is also using tax breaks to promote shale exploration and development. Indeed, the UK hopes to see a shale gas revolution of its own. 

So what are the new rules for fracking? Right now it’s still a bit vague, but overall it involves a strengthening of oversight and an automated seismic activity detection system designed to halt operations in time.

via UK Lifts Fracking Ban, Now What?.



Could be ‘just one of those things’

Significantly more bicyclists killed in car-bike crashes, significantly fewer injured in car-bike crashes… Does this make some kind of sense?

nonoccupants2011
click to enlarge

via NHTSA 2011 Motor Vehicle Crashes Overview (pdf): http://www-nrd.nhtsa.dot.gov/Pubs/811701.pdf



States sue EPA over fracking emissions

Schneiderman said that the coalition of states “can’t continue to ignore the evidence of climate change or the catastrophic threat that unabated greenhouse gas pollution poses to our families, our communities and our economy.” He said Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, Massachusetts, Rhode Island and Vermont joined in sending a required 60-day notice of intent to sue to EPA.

Pennsylvania, West Virginia, and Ohio – all states with intensive oil and gas drilling – didn’t join in the campaign. None of the states that sent the notice to the EPA are major producers of oil or gas

via Drilling Methane Emissions Lawsuit: New York And 6 Other States To Sue EPA.



HSBC Is “Too Big To Jail”

via Neil Barofsky (former Inspector General of TARP) and New Republic:

Some perspective: HSBC sent more than $800 million in bulk cash from Mexico to the United States, a good chunk of which apparently represented proceeds from some of the most notorious Colombian drug cartels. As someone who tried the first narcotics money laundering case involving extradition from Colombia, let me assure you that this is a lot of money, the discovery of which usually generates vigorous prosecutions and lengthy prison sentences. And it wasn’t HSBC’s only dirty business: There were also hundreds of millions of more dollars of illegally disguised transactions with rogue nations such as Iran and Sudan.

Why no criminal charges? Why instead only some remedial measures and a “historical” fine that can be measured in weeks — not years — of earnings? It certainly wasn’t for lack of evidence. No, instead the government determined that HSBC is not only too big to fail, but also too big to jail. As the New York Times first reported, even though there were strong voices within DOJ pushing for criminal charges, the big banks’ best friends within the government (the Treasury Department, of course, and other unnamed regulators) were too fearful that an indictment could destabilize the global financial system. Yes, it’s 2008 all over again. In the name of systemic stability, a megabank again escapes accountability for its actions, rescued by compliant officials.  

via HSBC Is "Too Big To Jail": Another Banking System Disgrace | The New Republic.



Demographics of the bicycling population

Take this back to 1970 and you would see a far more extreme change.

The decline of child cycling is the most important story in American cycling, rears its ugly head in data like this.

via NHTSA Bicyclists and Other Cyclists Fact Sheet 2010 (pdf): http://www-nrd.nhtsa.dot.gov/Pubs/811624.pdf

demographics



Trends in Overcompensation

vehicletypes

via Transportation Energy Data Book, ch. 4 (pdf): http://cta.ornl.gov/data/tedb31/Edition31_Chapter04.pdf

via a comment on Oil Drum.



Still more North American energy security

Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper approved Cnooc Ltd. (883)’s $15.1 billion takeover of Nexen Inc. (NXY) and Petroliam Nasional Bhd.’s C$5.2 billion ($5.2 billion) takeover of Progress Energy Resources Corp. (PRQ)

via Canada Approves Both Cnooc-Nexen, Petronas-Progress Deals – Bloomberg.



ScanEagle

I’ll take one with the Hush Kit, for “undetectable low altitude flying.” And you could put just about anything you want in the payload bay…as long as it’s not too heavy. This is a small aircraft:

Performance
Endurance: 24+ hours
Ceiling: 19,500 ft / 5,944 m
Max horizontal speed: 80 knots / 41 m/s
Cruise speed: 48 knots / 25 m/s
System features
Propulsion: 1.9 hp (1.4 kw), 2-stroke engine
Fuel: Gasoline (100-octane, unleaded, non-oxygenated gas) or heavy fuel (JP5, JP8, Jet-A)
Navigation: GPS / Inertial
Launch: Pneumatic catapult
Recovery: SkyHook wing-tip capture
Dimensions
Wingspan: 10.2 ft / 3.11 m
Length: 4.5 ft / 1.37 m
Weights
Empty structure weight: 28.8 lb / 13.1 kg
Max takeoff weight: 44.0 lb / 20.0 kg
Upgrades
– AIS for maritime domain awareness
– Heavy fuel engine with 28 hours endurance
– Hush engine for reduced acoustic signature
– Mid-wave IR sensor for increased nighttime resolution – Mode C Transponder for aircraft deconfliction
– ROVER support

via the ScanEagle Product Card (pdf): http://www.insitu.com/images/uploads/product-cards/ScanEagle_SubFolder_UE_092612.pdf

via http://www.insitu.com/systems/scaneagle

The Iranians say they captured one of these things.

The ScanEagle is an “off the shelf” spy plane manufactured by Insitu, a unit of U.S.-based Boeing. The company also supplies and operates drones for customers in several Middle Eastern countries, including to help ensure oil platform security in the Gulf, according to its website.

The U.S. military has been using the ScanEagle spy planes since 2004 and they have become a relatively inexpensive way for the United States and others to conduct surveillance.

Jill Vacek, a spokeswoman for Boeing subsidiary Insitu, said the company had built 1,685 of the aircraft. Other military customers include Canada, Australia, Poland, the Netherlands, Singapore, Malaysia, and Japan, as well as “other U.S. Department of Defense customers,” she said.

via Iran says it captures drone; U.S. denies losing one | Reuters.



EIA predicts current rise in U.S. crude oil production will peak at 7.5 million barrels per day

7.54 mbd of crude in 2019. According to the EIA’s “AEO Table Browser:”

AEO Table Browser – Energy Information Administration.

See also: THE AMAZING RED MOUND, BAKKEN DEVELOPMENT BY COUNTY, EPA FRACKING AIR POLLUTION RULES, MONTANA CRUDE OIL PRODUCTION, LIVESTOCK IN FRACKING REGIONS



Fatality risk by travel mode in England

Mindell, Lesley, Wardlaw. “Exposure-based Assessment of Modal Travel Risk in England Using Routine Health Data,” Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, September 13, 2012.

Young male drivers appear to have a higher fatality risk than cyclists in England. This is latched onto as quite good news for cyclists. The results of this study depend entirely on responses given on Britain’s National Travel Survey.

Results: Fatalities per million hours’ use (f/mhu) varied little (0.15–0.45f/mhu by mode for men, 0.09–0.31f/mhu for women). Risks were similar for men aged 21–49 years for all three modes and for female pedestrians and drivers aged 21–69 years. The group most at risk for each mode were: male drivers aged 17–20 years (1.3f/mhu, 95% CI 1.2, 1.4); male cyclists aged 70 years or older (2.2 f/mhu, 1.6, 3.0) and female pedestrians aged 70 years or older (0.95 f/mhu, 0.86, 1.1). In general, fatality rates were substantially higher amongst males than females, except for drivers aged 60 years or older. Risks per hour for male drivers under 30 years were similar or higher than for male cyclists; for 17–20 year olds the risk was higher for drivers (33/Bn km, 95% CI 30, 36; 1.3f/mhu, 1.2, 1.4) than cyclists (20/Bn km, 10, 37; 0.24f/mhu, 0.12, 0.45) using distance or time.

Abstract: http://jech.bmj.com/content/66/Suppl_1/A13.2



Fort Collins bike map

http://www.fcgov.com/bicycling/pdf/bike-map-front.pdf

ftcollinsbikemap



Over the Top

First time…

Gas tanker the “Ob River” took the cargo aboard at Melkøya, Finnmark County, on 7 November. The ship is now lying outside one of Japan’s major LNG terminals in Japan waiting to unload 134,738 cubic metres of liquefied natural gas.

[…]

He estimates the sailing season in the north lasts from the very end of July to the first half of November.

via Arctic Ocean gets first gas cargo – Aftenbladet.no.



Resistance on the Rise

From the Schwalbe tech info pages — http://www.schwalbetires.com/tech_info/rolling_resistance

schwalberesistance



ARPA-E Project selections
December 3, 2012, 05:33
Filed under: Uncategorized | Tags: , , , , , ,

Here: http://arpa-e.energy.gov/Portals/0/Documents/Projects/OPEN2012_ProjectDescriptions_FINAL_112812.pdf

See where the money is being thrown for energy research on ‘advanced fuels.’



Avast! Natural Gas Super Terrordome (ANGST)

Floating Liquified Natural Gas Facility (FLNG).

FLNG
click to enlarge

Shouldn’t that be FLNGF? Don’t pretend there’s no F-word on the end. Wouldn’t all of our acronyms be so much better if we could just make up the rules as we go along.

Developed after 10 years of research, using 600 engineers, and 1.6 million man-hours (182.5 years equivalent), Shell has manged to compact the size of a traditional LNG plant to a quarter of its land size. As Wired explains: “by stacking components vertically and using deep-sea water to cool the gas to its liquid state, the FLNG saves dramatically on deck space and enables the whole facility to occupy an area of roughly 4 football pitches: 28,500 square meters. One of its most innovative features involves the the plant’s unique location: an assembly of eight one-meter diameter pipes will extend 150m below the ocean’s surface, delivering around 50 million liters of cold seawater an hour, used to cool the gas.”

via http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2012-12-02/fling-aint-what-it-used-be



Livestock in fracking regions

After drilling began just over the property line of Jacki Schilke’s ranch in the northwestern corner of North Dakota, in the heart of the state’s booming Bakken Shale, cattle began limping, with swollen legs and infections. Cows quit producing milk for their calves, they lost from 60 to 80 pounds in a week and their tails mysteriously dropped off. Eventually, five animals died, according to Schilke.

Ambient air testing by a certified environmental consultant detected elevated levels of benzene, methane, chloroform, butane, propane, toluene and xylene – and well testing revealed high levels of sulfates, chromium, chloride and strontium. Schilke said she moved her herd upwind and upstream from the nearest drill pad.

via Livestock falling ill in fracking regions | Center for Investigative Reporting.

From February:

The Pennsylvania farmers I spoke with have lost cows, calves, a horse, a couple dozen chickens. Many of the animals succumb in the same way: seizure-like symptoms, gasping for breath and a quick wasting away. A Rottweiler and a Dalmatian also fell ill and died.

via http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-02-08/fracking-s-toll-on-pets-livestock-chills-pennsylvania-farmers-commentary.html

Gives new meaning to the term ‘tail risk.’



Montana Crude Oil Production

Appears to have peaked. See, the Bakken formation is in Montana and North Dakota.

montanaoilproduction
click to enlarge

via EIA: http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=pet&s=mcrfpmt2&f=m



Technology versus Luck

What if our technology had more to do with luck than our luck had to do with technology?

James Hamilton:

My view is that with these new fields and new technology, we’ll see further increases in U.S. and world production of oil for the next several years. But, unlike many other economists, I do not expect that to continue for much beyond the next decade. We like to think that the reason we enjoy our high standard of living is because we have been so clever at figuring out how to use the world’s available resources. But we should not dismiss the possibility that there may also have been a nontrivial contribution of simply having been quite lucky to have found an incredibly valuable raw material that was relatively easy to obtain for about a century and a half.

via Economics in Action : Issue 7 : November 15, 2012 : Exhaustible Resources and Economic Growth.

Yeah.. Don’t dismiss that possibility.




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