Industrialized Cyclist Notepad


Demand from China
February 28, 2012, 02:44
Filed under: Uncategorized | Tags: , , , , , ,

via the Export Data Browser:



Chris Cook’s take on oil prices

…has little to do with geology, EROI and all that, and everything to do with manipulation by market players. An interesting take, although I don’t get on board with any analyst that completely ignores an entire wing of the mental hospital of energy ideas.

http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2012/02/chris-cook-the-oil-end-game.html



Mexico’s oil exports slip lower

I guess they haven’t heard that Peak Oil is dead. Once they get word, exports should jolly well pick right back up again.

State-owned Pemex said Friday the country exported 1.191 million barrels per day in the first month of 2012, the lowest level in 19 months and a drop from the 1.282 million bpd shipped in December.

The company sent 1.254 million bpd to refineries in Mexico in January, compared with 1.164 million in December.

via UPDATE 2-Mexico's January oil exports lowest since mid-2010 | Reuters.



Friedman thinks US could soon export crude oil and join OPEC

That’s what oil exporters do! Yup, we’re going to frack our production up about 200% over its current level, and get more efficient of course, and, of course, “do it right,” and then we’ll start exporting crude to those suckers in Japan and Europe. But first —

But all of this depends on an understanding between the oil industry and the environmentalists. If President Obama could pull that off, it would be a huge contribution to America’s security, economy and environment.

Yeah, that’s it. If we can just come to an understanding with the environmentalists, it’s OPEC time!

Friedman is unbelievably bad sometimes. Other times, believably so.

via http://www.nytimes.com/2012/02/26/opinion/sunday/friedman-a-good-question.html

You may also intensely dislike: THOMAS L. FRIEDMAN IS UNSUSTAINABLE



Exploding minivan waiting to happen

In Tampa, Fla., authorities say criminals used a minivan with a cutout floorboard, a pump and a big plastic container in an elaborate scheme to siphon gas directly from a gas station’s underground storage tank.

via U.S. News – Pain at the pump: Deputy interrupts elaborate gasoline theft.



EIA’s latest oil price prediction

Via http://www.eia.gov/forecasts/aeo/er/early_prices.cfm

Consider in light of their historical track record, which has … not been good.



U.S. average retail gasoline prices

Another look, via Barry Ritholtz’ Big Picture Blog:

http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2012/02/prices-at-the-pump-on-the-rise/



James Hamilton on crude oil and gas prices

My rule of thumb has been that for every $1 increase in the price of a barrel of crude oil, U.S. consumers are likely to pay 2-1/2 more cents for a gallon of gasoline.

Hamilton points to the lack of adequate pipeline infrastructure in the US to explain the gap between Brent and WTI.

via http://www.econbrowser.com/archives/2012/02/crude_oil_and_g.html



49 Months

VMT (Vehicle Miles Traveled) up slightly in December relative to last December, but down overall for the year, and below its previous peak now for 49 months. With fuel prices on the rise it doesn’t look like it will break above that for quite some time — if ever.

But what do I know.. People are buying cars again. It’s Halftime in America and “the SUV is back.”

From the DOT:

The whole pdf here



Polar bear habitat and Chukchi Sea drilling
February 18, 2012, 14:00
Filed under: maps | Tags: , , , , , , , , ,

Via North Alaska Environmental Center.


click to enlarge



Oil and Gas leases on Alaska’s north slope

Via http://northern.org/media-library/maps/arctic/western-arctic-npr-a-maps/NorthSlopeLeasesMar2009WEBlg2.jpg/view


click to enlarge



AAA gas price report
February 18, 2012, 05:00
Filed under: Uncategorized | Tags: , , , , , , ,

The Daily Fuel Gauge Report



Interesting math from Reuters as Brent tops 120

Crude oil output from the North Sea, home of the global Brent benchmark, is set to fall in March for a third month due to maintenance work and natural aging of oilfields there.

Supply will average 2.18 million barrels per day in March, down 1.4 percent from 2.12 million bpd the previous month, data compiled by Reuters showed on Tuesday.

via Brent tops $120 on Iran, North Sea, Greece | Reuters.

This report was the product of at least four reporters and two editors.



Juuust a bit outside

This was the EIA’s thought on future oil prices just nine years ago:

From an article on EIA predictions at Seeking Alpha: http://seekingalpha.com/article/363431-flawed-oil-forecasts-hide-continued-upward-pressure-on-prices



Highest average gas price ever for January
February 14, 2012, 12:22
Filed under: Uncategorized | Tags: , , , , ,

From Zero Hedge: http://www.zerohedge.com/news/january-gas-prices-all-time-highs



“Green cars” will not solve the whole greenhouse gas thing

The impossibility of “green cars” must be apparent at this point. EVen to people at websites called “Green Car Congress:” http://www.greencarcongress.com/2012/02/mashayekh-20120212.html

After considering a wide range of possible strategies to reduce light-duty vehicle greenhouse gas emissions, a team from Carnegie Mellon University, RAND Corporation and the University of Toronto has concluded that no one strategy will be sufficient to meet GHG emissions reduction goals to avoid climate change. Strategies considered included fuel and vehicle options; low-carbon and renewable power; travel demand management; and land use changes.

However, they also found that many of these changes have positive combinatorial effects, “so the best strategy is to pursue combinations of transportation GHG reduction strategies to meet reduction goals.” As a result, they recommended that agencies need to broaden their agendas to incorporate such combinations in their planning. Their policy paper is published in the ACS journal Environmental Science & Technology.

So, if we still want to drive around everywhere , we’re left with all these non-effective strategies for reducing emissions. Solution? Implement all these non-effective strategies at the same time!



Wind energy in the EU
February 6, 2012, 17:26
Filed under: Uncategorized | Tags: , , , ,

Wind energy: over 21% of all new power capacity in 2011 | EU Reporter.



Stupidest idea of the year, so far

This sets the bar pretty high, but it’s only February. I bet the other congressmen can put their heads together and come up with something even stupider than this.

GOP lawmaker offers $1 billion prize to first 100 mpg gasoline car – The Hill's Floor Action.



Historic drilling costs of U.S. oil wells

Cost per foot of oil wells, United States. Stunning chart.

From EIA: http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=E_ERTWO_XWPN_NUS_DF&f=A



Sudan – South Sudan oil map

South Sudan became a thing in 2011. Much dispute. Oil exports now held up, China under pressure.




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