Industrialized Cyclist Notepad


Northern European Socialism is not broke
May 19, 2012, 05:00
Filed under: Uncategorized | Tags: , , , , , , , ,

Not compared to N. American ‘capitalism.’ Despite the onslaught of talking heads and columnists sent to convince you otherwise. Many of you will find the reality of the situation very disappointing, but it is what it is.

Via Beat the Press: http://www.cepr.net/index.php/blogs/beat-the-press/david-brooks-self-doubt-and-self-confidence



Who Owns the Tar Sands?

http://www.desmogblog.com/tar-sands-oil-companies-71-percent-foreign-owned-cue-ezra-levant-s-outrage

In a recent Bloomberg interview, Dan Yergin suggested we consider Canada as “not a foreign country,” thus oil from Canada is just like oil produced within the United States. Voila! Turns out oil from Canada is not even like oil from Canada.



History of Texas Crude Oil Production

According to the Railroad Commission of Texas.

http://www.rrc.state.tx.us/data/production/oilwellcounts.php

Some individuals recently noting the difference between RRC and EIA production numbers. From a comment by Jeffrey Brown:

Total US Crude Oil Production (EIA, mbpd):

2002: 5.746
2003: 5.681
2004: 5.419
2005: 5.178
2006: 5.102
2007: 5.064
2008: 4.950
2009: 5.361
2010: 5.476
2011: 5.662

Total US Crude Oil Production, using RRC data for Texas, instead of EIA (Gap Between the two data sets):

2002: 5.615 (+131,000 bpd)
2003: 5.548 (+133,000)
2004: 5.303 (+116,000)
2005: 5.059 (+119,000)
2006: 4.948 (+154,000)
2007: 4.898 (+166,000)
2008: 4.813 (+137,000)
2009: 5.199 (+162,000)
2010: 5.285 (+194,000)
2011: 5.324 (+338,000)

http://www.theoildrum.com/node/9191#comment-893345



Hiroaki Koide: Promoters of nuclear power should eat contaminated food

Why should little kids have to eat it? An interesting moral dilemma.

クリーンな食べ物はない。

There is no clean food.

残念ながら福島の事故は起きてしまい、全地球に汚染を広げてしまっている。そのため、クリーンとか安全という食べ物というものはありません。

Sadly, the Fukushima accident happened, and has spread contamination throughout the world. So there is no food that is clean or safe.

ただし、猛烈に汚れている食べ物から比較的安全な食べ物まで、連続的に分布している。それをどのように受け入れるかが問題。

But there is a continuous variety of food from extremely contaminated food to relatively safe food. The issue is how to accept [allocate] such food.

猛烈な汚染食品は原子力を進めていた方々に食べてもらう。東電幹部、原子力を進めてきた政治家や、学者に食べてもらう。そういう仕組みを作りたい。

Extremely contaminated food should be eaten by people who have promoted nuclear power. TEPCO top management, and politicians and scholars who have promoted nuclear power. I would like to build such a system.

後は、原子力をここまで許してきてしまった大人たちに、汚染された食べ物を食べてもらって、子どもたちに汚染されていないものを食べさせてあげる。

The rest of the contaminated food should be eaten by adults, who have allowed nuclear power to this extent, so that the non-contaminated food goes to children.

via EX-SKF:

Hiroaki Koide: "Adults in Japan Should Eat Contaminated Food" to Atone for the Sins of Having Allowed Nuke Power | EXSKF.



Doom Porn
May 3, 2012, 05:00
Filed under: Uncategorized | Tags: , , , , ,

Kunstler is always a fun read. Well-informed too. But he is a glass-half-empty kind of guy.

He’s got a new one coming out, apparently calling us out for our magical thinking about ‘technology,’ which is a good idea.

And there’s an interview on DisinfoCast here: http://www.disinfo.com/2012/04/too-much-magic-with-james-howard-kunstler-the-disinfocast-with-matt-staggs-episode-07/



Blowout in Wyo.

Niobrara fights back.

An oil well blowout in Wyoming prompted 50 residents to evacuate their homes amid concern that a spewing cloud of natural gas could explode.

Gas continued to erupt from the ground Wednesday after the blowout Tuesday afternoon five miles northeast of Douglas in east-central Wyoming. Witnesses told television station KCWY-TV they could hear the roaring gas from six miles away.

Residents evacuate after gas leaks from Wyo. well.



Vehicle Miles Traveled up slightly in February

+ 1.8% Over Feb. 2011…

Moving 12-month total.

http://www.fhwa.dot.gov/policyinformation/travel_monitoring/12febtvt/12febtvt.pdf



Resistance

A new fire in the North Sea; blowout in Russia; hacking in Iran; pipeline problems in Turkey; accelerated violence in South Sudan… What I miss?



Green Apples

… But some companies that essentially live on the Internet are moving facilities to North Carolina, Virginia, northeastern Illinois and other regions whose main sources of energy are coal and nuclear power, the report said. The report singles out Apple as one of the leaders of the charge to coal-fired energy.

Apple immediately disputed the report’s findings, saying that the company planned to build two huge renewable energy projects at its recently opened data center in North Carolina that would eventually offset much of the coal-fired and nuclear energy use.

But in a contrast that is sure to generate debate in the hypercompetitive marketplace of the Internet, the report asserts that a few other companies, including Google and Facebook, have demonstrated much more commitment to shifting some of their electricity demands to renewable sources like wind, solar energy and hydroelectric power.

via Online Cloud Services Rely on Coal and Nuclear Power, Report Says – NYTimes.com.



The Five Anxious Dwarves

Interesting piece by Andrew McKillop.

At the current time there is no sign that either of these Nice Theory solutions coming about in the real world, unless we try the conspiracy theory that the OECD group, led by the US, Europe and Japan voluntarily sabotaged their economies in 2008 – to save oil !

 Annual growth of oil demand by China, India, Bangladesh, Pakistan, Brazil, Turkey and other nonOECD, large population, oil importing industrialising countries could hit as much as 1.75 Mbd each year, under 2004-2007 global economic conditions. Not even 2 years of that growth would send oil prices right off the top of the graph. Even with continued slow oil demand growth by the OECD group, or recession-driven decline of their demand … global oil demand can easily bounce.

We can simply note that dependable Peak Oil denial from playful flyweights like Dan Yergin or oil industry stalwarts like former CEO Lee Raymond and E&P chief Jon Thompson of ExxonMobil, or Christophe de Margerie of Total has problems staying on track. The real bottom line on global oil production is increasingly heard:  world oil output will very likely never achieve more than around 90 Mbd on a short-life basis, before terminal decline sets into operation. The only upside is that necessarily more expensive shale oil, and necessarily expensive GTL (oil from gas) may smooth the downslope.

Today’s IEA forecast for global average daily demand in 2012 is about 89.9 Mbd.

via The Magical Decline Of Crude Oil Demand :: The Market Oracle



Iran tankers turn off transponders, but it’s pretty obvious where they’re going

It has long been assumed Iran would sell most of the oil shunned by Europe to China, its long-term strategic and commercial ally. But until now there has been scant proof.

India, however, has been buying oil on Iranian ships on extended credit for several months, industry sources say.

via THE DAILY STAR :: Business :: Middle East :: Iran employs off-radar oil shipping tactics to counter Western sanctions.



Methane leakage from natural gas infrastructure

Alvarez, Pacala, Winebrake, Chameides and Hamburg, “Greater focus needed on methane leakage from natural gas infrastructure,” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sceinces of the United States of America, 2012.

Full article: http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2012/04/02/1202407109.full.pdf+html



The Plan: Export U.S. natural gas, import higher prices for U.S. consumers

Energy independence? Not so much.

The government may decide as soon as next week on Cheniere’s request to build a $10 billion Louisiana plant that would be the largest in the U.S. to liquefy gas and load it onto ocean-going tankers. Regulators will discuss the project April 19. Cheniere’s shares rose as much as 11 percent in New York.

via LNG Export Plant Verges on U.S. Approval Amid Shale Glut – Bloomberg.



Continued Economic Growth: Boiling Temp in 400 Years

Or, My Dinner With Andre the Giant Economist.

Another fun bit from Tom Murphy. Shades of Plato’s Republic.

…The upshot is that at a 2.3% growth rate (conveniently chosen to represent a 10× increase every century), we would reach boiling temperature in about 400 years. [Pained expression from economist.]

via Exponential Economist Meets Finite Physicist | Do the Math.

The economist says he believes that energy will become “arbitrarily cheap” in the future, before realizing how stupid that is.



CRS on the SPR

(Congressional Research Service)

(Strategic Petroleum Reserve)

Via http://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/R42460.pdf


click to enlarge

I believe they reversed or will reverse the Seaway.



Save this chart for a good laugh later on

Citi analysts have been calling an end to America’s energy problems and for the appearance of a 900-foot-tall golden unicorn named Darren.



The Fracking Won’t Save Us Chart

From EIA. Prudhoe Bay also “reversed the decline in domestic oil production” at one point.


click to enlarge



Plus, they have to be resistant to radioactivity

Floating windmills offshore Japan.

The biggest challenge in erecting floating turbines offshore is ensuring the buoyancy mechanisms are stable, and getting fixed lines to the sea floor which can be extended to depths of 200 meters (656 feet).

via Floating Windmills in Japan Help Wind Down Nuclear Power: Energy – Bloomberg.



Drilling Rigs in the U.S.

via Stuart Staniford’s Early Warning:

http://earlywarn.blogspot.com/2012/03/us-rig-count-trends.html



James Hamilton: A rational reason for high oil prices

“There is no rational reason for high oil prices,” writes Ali Naimi, Saudi Arabian Minister of Petroleum and Mineral Resources, in today’s Financial Times. Well, I can think of one– if oil prices were lower, the world would want to consume more than is currently being produced.

via Econbrowser: A rational reason for high oil prices.




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